Machida Zelvia vs Mito HollyHock Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Machida Zelvia v Mito HollyHock — Team-Based Signals
Machida Zelvia vs Mito HollyHock Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-0
Machida Zelvia
JAP2
3-0
HT 1-0
Mito HollyHock
JAP2
2-3
HT 2-0
Mito HollyHock
JAP2
0-0
HT 0-0
Machida Zelvia
JAP2
2-1
HT 0-1
Mito HollyHock
JAP2
3-0
HT 2-0
Machida Zelvia
JAP2
Machida Zelvia 2-2 Mito HollyHock — Actual Match Statistics
Machida Zelvia and Mito HollyHock shared the points in a 2-2 draw.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Machida Zelvia at 57% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Machida Zelvia had 56% of the ball to Mito HollyHock's 44%, shots finished 9-16, expected goals 1.07 to 1.50.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Machida Zelvia and 1.33 for Mito HollyHock.
What was the final score of Machida Zelvia vs Mito HollyHock?
Machida Zelvia 2-2 Mito HollyHock in the Japan - J1 League on 14/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Machida Zelvia vs Mito HollyHock?
Before kick-off our model rated a Machida Zelvia win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Machida Zelvia 57%, draw 22%, Mito HollyHock 21%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Machida Zelvia) went the other way.