Coleraine FC 3-2 Dungannon Swifts — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Cup, 2 May 2026

📅02/05/2026 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.61
Draw
19%
3.8
Away
20%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.97
Over 2.5
56%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.81
No
49%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.4
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
30%
3.15
6+ Goals
8%
11.15
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.15 — our 30% vs market 24.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
2.01
1/2
4%
34.0
1/X
5%
14.8
X/1
22%
4.07
X/2
4%
10.45
X/X
9%
5.43
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
22.25
2/2
11%
8.46
2/X
5%
16.65
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.25 — our 10% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
58%
+2.5pp
19%
Draw
23%
-4.7pp
20%
Away Win
18%
+2.1pp
44%
Under 2.5
47%
-3.1pp
56%
Over 2.5
53%
+3.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.2pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Coleraine FC EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Dungannon Swifts EU Bookmakers 21%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.92/0.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.02
-22% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / +91%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
395 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards 3.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Coleraine FC
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Dungannon Swifts
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
28.03.2026 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts 1-2 HT 1-1 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC KİRL
28.02.2026 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts 3-1 HT 3-0 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC KİRL
18.10.2025 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC 4-0 HT 2-0 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts KİRL
19.08.2025 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC 2-0 HT 2-0 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts KİRL
05.04.2025 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC 3-2 HT 2-1 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts KİRL
01.02.2025 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts 2-1 HT 1-0 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC KİRK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Coleraine FC
3-2
AWAY Dungannon Swifts
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 9
8 Corners 5
POST-MATCH Coleraine FC vs Dungannon Swifts
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Coleraine FC squeezed past Dungannon Swifts 3-2. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Coleraine FC as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Coleraine FC had 59% of the ball to Dungannon Swifts's 41%, shots finished 13-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Coleraine FC had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Coleraine FC and 1.33 for Dungannon Swifts.

What was the final score of Coleraine FC vs Dungannon Swifts?

Coleraine FC 3-2 Dungannon Swifts in the North Ireland - Cup on 02/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Coleraine FC vs Dungannon Swifts?

Before kick-off our model rated a Coleraine FC win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Coleraine FC 61%, draw 19%, Dungannon Swifts 20%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Coleraine FC), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Coleraine FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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