Coleraine FC 4-0 Dungannon Swifts — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 18 Oct 2025

📅18/10/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.37
Draw
18%
4.62
Away
16%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.15
Over 2.5
49%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.96
No
55%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
24%
3.93
2-3 Goals
43%
1.81
4-5 Goals
24%
2.91
6+ Goals
9%
8.94
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.93 — our 24% vs market 19.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
42%
1.61
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
6%
19.35
X/1
16%
3.78
X/2
4%
15.9
X/X
8%
6.96
2/1
8%
22.25
2/2
7%
13.7
2/X
4%
22.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
69%
-3.1pp
18%
Draw
19%
-0.5pp
16%
Away Win
12%
+3.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
43%
+8.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
57%
-8.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-2.3pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Coleraine FC EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Dungannon Swifts EU Bookmakers 15%
+6% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +2%
1.97/0.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/2.62
-15% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -18%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
363 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Coleraine FC
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Dungannon Swifts
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
19.08.2025 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC 2-0 HT 2-0 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts KİRL
05.04.2025 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC 3-2 HT 2-1 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts KİRL
01.02.2025 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts 2-1 HT 1-0 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC KİRK
25.01.2025 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts 1-1 HT 1-0 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC KİRL
02.11.2024 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC 4-1 HT 1-0 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts KİRL
10.08.2024 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts 1-1 HT 1-0 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC KİRL
POST-MATCH Coleraine FC vs Dungannon Swifts
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Coleraine FC ran out comfortable winners over Dungannon Swifts 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Coleraine FC as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (55%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Coleraine FC had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Coleraine FC and 1.17 for Dungannon Swifts.

What was the final score of Coleraine FC vs Dungannon Swifts?

Coleraine FC 4-0 Dungannon Swifts in the North Ireland - Premier League on 18/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Coleraine FC vs Dungannon Swifts?

Before kick-off our model rated a Coleraine FC win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Coleraine FC 66%, draw 18%, Dungannon Swifts 16%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Coleraine FC), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Coleraine FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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