Glenavon FC 1-0 Carrick Rangers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 18 Oct 2025

📅18/10/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.29
Draw
21%
3.45
Away
50%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.91
Over 2.5
54%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.7
No
47%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.32
2-3 Goals
42%
1.75
4-5 Goals
21%
3.26
6+ Goals
11%
12.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
5.48
1/2 EV+ ✗
11%
23.55
1/X
5%
14.2
X/1
10%
7.42
X/2
20%
4.68
X/X
10%
4.98
2/1
5%
35.0
2/2
19%
2.7
2/X
5%
13.4
Value flag · 1/2 at 23.55 — our 11% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
27%
+2.2pp
21%
Draw
26%
-4.9pp
50%
Away Win
47%
+2.7pp
46%
Under 2.5
48%
-2.0pp
54%
Over 2.5
52%
+2.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
55%
-1.9pp
47%
BTTS No
45%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Glenavon FC EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Carrick Rangers EU Bookmakers 51%
-5% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
1.25/1.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.32/1.49
+5% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +39% / -23%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
251 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 382 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Glenavon FC
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Carrick Rangers
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
16.08.2025 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers 1-0 HT 1-0 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC KİRL
26.04.2025 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers 0-4 HT 0-1 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC KİRL
25.01.2025 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC 2-1 HT 0-0 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers KİRL
26.10.2024 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC 1-1 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers KİRL
10.08.2024 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers 2-0 HT 2-0 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC KİRL
27.04.2024 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC 1-2 HT 1-2 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers KİRL
POST-MATCH Glenavon FC vs Carrick Rangers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Glenavon FC nicked a narrow win over Carrick Rangers 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Carrick Rangers at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Carrick Rangers led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Glenavon FC and 1.17 for Carrick Rangers.

What was the final score of Glenavon FC vs Carrick Rangers?

Glenavon FC 1-0 Carrick Rangers in the North Ireland - Premier League on 18/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Glenavon FC vs Carrick Rangers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Carrick Rangers win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Glenavon FC 29%, draw 21%, Carrick Rangers 50%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Carrick Rangers) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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