Dungannon Swifts 3-1 Coleraine FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 28 Feb 2026

📅28/02/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
4.13
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
53%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.9
Over 2.5
49%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.85
No
50%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
3.15
2-3 Goals
41%
1.73
4-5 Goals
24%
3.34
6+ Goals
10%
12.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.15 — our 25% vs market 24.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
7.71
1/2
8%
22.65
1/X
4%
16.75
X/1
7%
9.45
X/2
12%
4.02
X/X
12%
5.26
2/1
8%
34.0
2/2
33%
2.14
2/X
8%
15.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
21%
+2.3pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.4pp
53%
Away Win
55%
-2.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
49%
+2.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
51%
-2.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
50%
+0.2pp
50%
BTTS No
50%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dungannon Swifts EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Coleraine FC EU Bookmakers 60%
+6% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -13%
1.16/1.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/1.12
+10% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -10%
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
232 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 385 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dungannon Swifts
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Coleraine FC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
18.10.2025 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC 4-0 HT 2-0 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts KİRL
19.08.2025 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC 2-0 HT 2-0 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts KİRL
05.04.2025 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC 3-2 HT 2-1 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts KİRL
01.02.2025 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts 2-1 HT 1-0 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC KİRK
25.01.2025 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts 1-1 HT 1-0 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC KİRL
02.11.2024 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC 4-1 HT 1-0 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts KİRL
POST-MATCH Dungannon Swifts vs Coleraine FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dungannon Swifts got the better of Coleraine FC 3-1. Half-time: 3-0.

Our pre-match lean was Coleraine FC at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Coleraine FC led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Dungannon Swifts and 2.50 for Coleraine FC.

What was the final score of Dungannon Swifts vs Coleraine FC?

Dungannon Swifts 3-1 Coleraine FC in the North Ireland - Premier League on 28/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dungannon Swifts vs Coleraine FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Coleraine FC win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Dungannon Swifts 23%, draw 24%, Coleraine FC 53%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Coleraine FC) ✗ Under 2.5
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