Carrick Rangers 1-1 Bangor FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 28 Feb 2026

📅28/02/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.57
Draw
19%
3.8
Away
20%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
1.95
Over 2.5
57%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.85
No
46%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
3.33
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
28%
3.19
6+ Goals
12%
11.55
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.19 — our 28% vs market 24.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1.99
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
6%
15.5
X/1
22%
3.98
X/2
8%
10.45
X/X
6%
5.54
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
22.25
2/2
7%
8.55
2/X
6%
17.3
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.25 — our 9% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
59%
+2.1pp
19%
Draw
23%
-4.0pp
20%
Away Win
18%
+1.9pp
43%
Under 2.5
48%
-4.6pp
57%
Over 2.5
52%
+4.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
50%
+4.4pp
46%
BTTS No
50%
-4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Carrick Rangers EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Bangor FC EU Bookmakers 21%
-6% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.58/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.69/2.04
-25% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +61% / -21%
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
407 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 241 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Carrick Rangers
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Bangor FC
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
58% Ball Possession 42%
19 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 9
10 Corners 4
03.02.2026 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers 3-2 HT 2-1 Bangor FC Bangor FC KİRL
31.10.2025 Bangor FC Bangor FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers KİRL
23.07.2024 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers 1-3 HT 0-2 Bangor FC Bangor FC HAZ
POST-MATCH Carrick Rangers vs Bangor FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Carrick Rangers and Bangor FC shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Carrick Rangers at 61% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Carrick Rangers had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Carrick Rangers and 1.67 for Bangor FC.

What was the final score of Carrick Rangers vs Bangor FC?

Carrick Rangers 1-1 Bangor FC in the North Ireland - Premier League on 28/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Carrick Rangers vs Bangor FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Carrick Rangers win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Carrick Rangers 61%, draw 19%, Bangor FC 20%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Carrick Rangers), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Carrick Rangers) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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