Ballymena United 0-2 Larne FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 28 Feb 2026

📅28/02/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
4.04
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
56%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.8
Over 2.5
51%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.88
No
49%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.94
2-3 Goals
41%
1.71
4-5 Goals
22%
3.53
6+ Goals
11%
14.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
7.41
1/2
8%
23.95
1/X
4%
16.1
X/1
6%
9.02
X/2
18%
4.1
X/X
8%
4.87
2/1
5%
34.0
2/2
30%
2.25
2/X
11%
14.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
21%
-0.2pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.9pp
56%
Away Win
54%
+2.0pp
49%
Under 2.5
52%
-2.8pp
51%
Over 2.5
48%
+2.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.1pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ballymena United EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Larne FC EU Bookmakers 58%
+9% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +5%
1.19/1.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/0.76
+13% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / +43%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
274 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ballymena United
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Larne FC
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
51% Ball Possession 49%
7 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 2
03.02.2026 Ballymena United Ballymena United 1-2 HT 0-1 Larne FC Larne FC KİRK
02.12.2025 Ballymena United Ballymena United 2-0 HT 1-0 Larne FC Larne FC KİRLK
01.11.2025 Ballymena United Ballymena United 0-2 HT 0-2 Larne FC Larne FC KİRL
29.08.2025 Larne FC Larne FC 2-0 HT 1-0 Ballymena United Ballymena United KİRL
11.03.2025 Ballymena United Ballymena United 1-2 HT 1-1 Larne FC Larne FC KİRL
25.01.2025 Larne FC Larne FC 2-1 HT 2-1 Ballymena United Ballymena United KİRL
POST-MATCH Ballymena United vs Larne FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Larne FC got the better of Ballymena United 2-0 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Larne FC as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Larne FC led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Ballymena United and 1.67 for Larne FC.

What was the final score of Ballymena United vs Larne FC?

Ballymena United 0-2 Larne FC in the North Ireland - Premier League on 28/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ballymena United vs Larne FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Larne FC win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Ballymena United 21%, draw 23%, Larne FC 56%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Larne FC) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Larne FC) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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