Ballymena United 1-2 Larne FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Cup, 3 Feb 2026

📅03/02/2026 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
4.65
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
50%
1.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.8
Over 2.5
56%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.95
No
43%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2.99
2-3 Goals
42%
1.75
4-5 Goals
24%
3.62
6+ Goals
11%
15.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
15%
1/X
4%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
22%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
19%
+8.5pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.6pp
49%
Away Win
57%
-7.9pp
44%
Under 2.5
52%
-7.9pp
56%
Over 2.5
48%
+7.9pp
57%
BTTS Yes
47%
+9.4pp
43%
BTTS No
53%
-9.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ballymena United EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Larne FC EU Bookmakers 61%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
1.13/2.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.00/3.00
-31% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -60%
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
248 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 428 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ballymena United
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Larne FC
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
02.12.2025 Ballymena United Ballymena United 2-0 HT 1-0 Larne FC Larne FC KİRLK
01.11.2025 Ballymena United Ballymena United 0-2 HT 0-2 Larne FC Larne FC KİRL
29.08.2025 Larne FC Larne FC 2-0 HT 1-0 Ballymena United Ballymena United KİRL
11.03.2025 Ballymena United Ballymena United 1-2 HT 1-1 Larne FC Larne FC KİRL
25.01.2025 Larne FC Larne FC 2-1 HT 2-1 Ballymena United Ballymena United KİRL
07.09.2024 Larne FC Larne FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Ballymena United Ballymena United KİRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ballymena United
1-2
AWAY Larne FC
51% Ball Possession 49%
7 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ballymena United vs Larne FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Larne FC nicked a narrow win over Ballymena United 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Larne FC as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, Ballymena United had 51% of the ball to Larne FC's 49%, shots finished 7-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Larne FC led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Ballymena United and 1.33 for Larne FC.

What was the final score of Ballymena United vs Larne FC?

Ballymena United 1-2 Larne FC in the North Ireland - Cup on 03/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ballymena United vs Larne FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Larne FC win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Ballymena United 27%, draw 23%, Larne FC 49%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Larne FC), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Larne FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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