Ballymena United 2-0 Larne FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - League Cup, 2 Dec 2025

📅02/12/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
3.29
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
39%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
Over 2.5
49%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
No
43%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
48%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
27%
+8.3pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.6pp
39%
Away Win
47%
-7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ballymena United EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Larne FC EU Bookmakers 50%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
240 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 366 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ballymena United
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Larne FC
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
42% Ball Possession 58%
3 Total Shots 7
1 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 3
01.11.2025 Ballymena United Ballymena United 0-2 HT 0-2 Larne FC Larne FC KİRL
29.08.2025 Larne FC Larne FC 2-0 HT 1-0 Ballymena United Ballymena United KİRL
11.03.2025 Ballymena United Ballymena United 1-2 HT 1-1 Larne FC Larne FC KİRL
25.01.2025 Larne FC Larne FC 2-1 HT 2-1 Ballymena United Ballymena United KİRL
07.09.2024 Larne FC Larne FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Ballymena United Ballymena United KİRL
17.02.2024 Ballymena United Ballymena United 0-1 HT 0-1 Larne FC Larne FC KİRL
POST-MATCH Ballymena United vs Larne FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ballymena United beat Larne FC 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (35% / 26% / 39%) promised a tight game; Ballymena United found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Larne FC led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Ballymena United and 1.50 for Larne FC.

What was the final score of Ballymena United vs Larne FC?

Ballymena United 2-0 Larne FC in the North Ireland - League Cup on 02/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ballymena United vs Larne FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Larne FC win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Ballymena United 35%, draw 26%, Larne FC 39%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Larne FC), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Larne FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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