Ballymena United 0-2 Larne FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 1 Nov 2025

📅01/11/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.46
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
49%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.75
Over 2.5
39%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.85
No
59%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
37%
2.78
2-3 Goals
39%
1.73
4-5 Goals
16%
3.8
6+ Goals
8%
17.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.78 — our 37% vs market 28.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
6.18
1/2
9%
26.0
1/X
7%
14.85
X/1
12%
7.74
X/2
21%
4.47
X/X
11%
4.46
2/1
5%
35.0
2/2
19%
2.66
2/X
5%
13.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
25%
+2.2pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.0pp
49%
Away Win
48%
+0.9pp
61%
Under 2.5
53%
+7.5pp
39%
Over 2.5
47%
-7.5pp
41%
BTTS Yes
50%
-8.9pp
59%
BTTS No
50%
+8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ballymena United EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Larne FC EU Bookmakers 52%
-5% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -2%
1.10/1.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/0.92
-7% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / +31%
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
228 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ballymena United
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Larne FC
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
40% Ball Possession 60%
2 Total Shots 6
0 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
29.08.2025 Larne FC Larne FC 2-0 HT 1-0 Ballymena United Ballymena United KİRL
11.03.2025 Ballymena United Ballymena United 1-2 HT 1-1 Larne FC Larne FC KİRL
25.01.2025 Larne FC Larne FC 2-1 HT 2-1 Ballymena United Ballymena United KİRL
07.09.2024 Larne FC Larne FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Ballymena United Ballymena United KİRL
17.02.2024 Ballymena United Ballymena United 0-1 HT 0-1 Larne FC Larne FC KİRL
02.12.2023 Ballymena United Ballymena United 0-0 HT 0-0 Larne FC Larne FC KİRL
POST-MATCH Ballymena United vs Larne FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Larne FC beat Ballymena United 2-0 away from home.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Larne FC as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Larne FC led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Ballymena United and 1.17 for Larne FC.

What was the final score of Ballymena United vs Larne FC?

Ballymena United 0-2 Larne FC in the North Ireland - Premier League on 01/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ballymena United vs Larne FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Larne FC win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Ballymena United 28%, draw 23%, Larne FC 49%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Larne FC), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Larne FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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