Larne FC 2-0 Ballymena United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 29 Aug 2025

📅29/08/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
2.0
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
16%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.74
Over 2.5
40%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.82
No
55%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
2.73
2-3 Goals
39%
1.7
4-5 Goals
17%
3.77
6+ Goals
10%
17.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.73 — our 34% vs market 28.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.78
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
8%
12.9
X/1
16%
4.63
X/2
5%
7.34
X/X
17%
4.21
2/1
12%
26.5
2/2
6%
5.71
2/X
4%
13.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
46%
+8.3pp
30%
Draw
28%
+1.5pp
16%
Away Win
26%
-9.9pp
60%
Under 2.5
54%
+5.9pp
40%
Over 2.5
46%
-5.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.6pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Larne FC EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Ballymena United EU Bookmakers 29%
+2% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +19%
1.49/0.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.27
+10% / +84% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +10%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
262 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Larne FC
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Ballymena United
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
60% Ball Possession 40%
10 Total Shots 3
3 Shots on Target 0
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
11.03.2025 Ballymena United Ballymena United 1-2 HT 1-1 Larne FC Larne FC KİRL
25.01.2025 Larne FC Larne FC 2-1 HT 2-1 Ballymena United Ballymena United KİRL
07.09.2024 Larne FC Larne FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Ballymena United Ballymena United KİRL
17.02.2024 Ballymena United Ballymena United 0-1 HT 0-1 Larne FC Larne FC KİRL
02.12.2023 Ballymena United Ballymena United 0-0 HT 0-0 Larne FC Larne FC KİRL
15.08.2023 Larne FC Larne FC 3-0 HT 0-0 Ballymena United Ballymena United KİRL
POST-MATCH Larne FC vs Ballymena United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Larne FC got the better of Ballymena United 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Larne FC as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Larne FC had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Larne FC and 0.50 for Ballymena United.

What was the final score of Larne FC vs Ballymena United?

Larne FC 2-0 Ballymena United in the North Ireland - Premier League on 29/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Larne FC vs Ballymena United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Larne FC win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Larne FC 55%, draw 30%, Ballymena United 16%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Larne FC), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Larne FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
KİRL More North Ireland - Premier League
29 Aug 2025
21:45 Portadown FC vs Crusaders FC Analysis →