Portadown FC 2-1 Crusaders FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 29 Aug 2025

📅29/08/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.12
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
42%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.86
Over 2.5
53%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.73
No
48%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.04
2-3 Goals
36%
1.71
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
29%
3.41
6+ Goals
8%
13.6
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.41 — our 29% vs market 22.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.08
1/2 EV+ ✗
7%
31.5
1/X
7%
13.65
X/1
13%
4.84
X/2
15%
6.24
X/X
10%
4.78
2/1
6%
25.5
2/2
20%
4.52
2/X
6%
14.05
Value flag · 1/2 at 31.5 — our 7% vs market 1.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
43%
-8.5pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.6pp
42%
Away Win
31%
+11.1pp
47%
Under 2.5
50%
-3.0pp
53%
Over 2.5
50%
+3.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
54%
-1.4pp
48%
BTTS No
46%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Portadown FC EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Crusaders FC EU Bookmakers 34%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -10%
0.97/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/1.22
-31% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -37% / +9%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
326 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Portadown FC
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Crusaders FC
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
38% Ball Possession 62%
7 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 10
2 Yellow Cards 1
25.01.2025 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC 3-2 HT 1-1 Portadown FC Portadown FC KİRL
21.12.2024 Portadown FC Portadown FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC KİRL
21.09.2024 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC 0-3 HT 0-1 Portadown FC Portadown FC KİRL
07.11.2023 Portadown FC Portadown FC 2-1 HT 1-1 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC KILK
18.03.2023 Portadown FC Portadown FC 2-2 HT 1-0 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC KİRL
22.10.2022 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC 4-0 HT 2-0 Portadown FC Portadown FC KİRL
POST-MATCH Portadown FC vs Crusaders FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Portadown FC squeezed past Crusaders FC 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Crusaders FC at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Portadown FC had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Portadown FC and 1.67 for Crusaders FC.

What was the final score of Portadown FC vs Crusaders FC?

Portadown FC 2-1 Crusaders FC in the North Ireland - Premier League on 29/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Portadown FC vs Crusaders FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Crusaders FC win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Portadown FC 35%, draw 23%, Crusaders FC 42%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Crusaders FC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Crusaders FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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