Ballymena United 1-2 Larne FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 11 Mar 2025

📅11/03/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
2.99
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
46%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.67
Over 2.5
44%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.9
No
52%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.52
2-3 Goals
43%
1.71
4-5 Goals
22%
4.16
6+ Goals
7%
21.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
5.07
1/2
8%
28.0
1/X
5%
15.25
X/1
7%
6.34
X/2
17%
4.55
X/X
13%
4.35
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
21%
3.08
2/X
9%
14.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
30%
-2.8pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.4pp
46%
Away Win
44%
+2.3pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.2pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ballymena United EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Larne FC EU Bookmakers 48%
-12% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +1%
1.05/1.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/0.96
-18% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +28%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
301 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ballymena United
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Larne FC
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
39% Ball Possession 62%
4 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.01.2025 Larne FC Larne FC 2-1 HT 2-1 Ballymena United Ballymena United KİRL
07.09.2024 Larne FC Larne FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Ballymena United Ballymena United KİRL
17.02.2024 Ballymena United Ballymena United 0-1 HT 0-1 Larne FC Larne FC KİRL
02.12.2023 Ballymena United Ballymena United 0-0 HT 0-0 Larne FC Larne FC KİRL
15.08.2023 Larne FC Larne FC 3-0 HT 0-0 Ballymena United Ballymena United KİRL
31.03.2023 Larne FC Larne FC 0-2 HT 0-0 Ballymena United Ballymena United KİRK
POST-MATCH Ballymena United vs Larne FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Larne FC nicked a narrow win over Ballymena United 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Larne FC as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Larne FC led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Ballymena United and 1.00 for Larne FC.

What was the final score of Ballymena United vs Larne FC?

Ballymena United 1-2 Larne FC in the North Ireland - Premier League on 11/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ballymena United vs Larne FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Larne FC win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Ballymena United 27%, draw 27%, Larne FC 46%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Larne FC) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Larne FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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