Glenavon FC 3-0 Portadown FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 28 Feb 2026

📅28/02/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.47
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
36%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.8
Over 2.5
46%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.75
No
47%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
2.9
2-3 Goals
39%
1.71
4-5 Goals
21%
3.58
6+ Goals
9%
15.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.9 — our 31% vs market 27.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
3.87
1/2
7%
28.5
1/X
5%
13.4
X/1
17%
5.62
X/2
14%
5.44
X/X
13%
4.48
2/1
10%
29.5
2/2
15%
3.69
2/X
8%
13.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
37%
+0.8pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.5pp
36%
Away Win
36%
-0.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.3pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Glenavon FC EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Portadown FC EU Bookmakers 40%
-3% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -22% / -25%
1.07/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/2.08
-17% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -41% / -42%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
329 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Glenavon FC
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Portadown FC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
26.12.2025 Portadown FC Portadown FC 1-0 HT 1-0 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC KİRL
04.10.2025 Portadown FC Portadown FC 3-1 HT 0-1 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC KİRL
01.04.2025 Portadown FC Portadown FC 1-1 HT 1-1 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC KİRL
26.12.2024 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC 2-0 HT 1-0 Portadown FC Portadown FC KİRL
23.11.2024 Portadown FC Portadown FC 1-0 HT 1-0 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC KİRL
05.10.2024 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC 2-1 HT 0-1 Portadown FC Portadown FC KİRL
POST-MATCH Glenavon FC vs Portadown FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Glenavon FC ran out comfortable winners over Portadown FC 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 27% / 36%) promised a tight game; Glenavon FC found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Portadown FC led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Glenavon FC and 1.17 for Portadown FC.

What was the final score of Glenavon FC vs Portadown FC?

Glenavon FC 3-0 Portadown FC in the North Ireland - Premier League on 28/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Glenavon FC vs Portadown FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Glenavon FC win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Glenavon FC 38%, draw 27%, Portadown FC 36%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Glenavon FC) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Glenavon FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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