Portadown FC 1-0 Glenavon FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 26 Dec 2025

📅26/12/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.96
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
27%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
1.86
Over 2.5
58%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.75
No
43%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.15
2-3 Goals
33%
1.75
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
29%
3.46
6+ Goals
12%
13.65
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.46 — our 29% vs market 22.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.8
1/2
4%
35.0
1/X
6%
13.15
X/1
20%
4.79
X/2
8%
7.44
X/X
10%
4.72
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
25.5
2/2
15%
5.54
2/X
8%
14.0
Value flag · 2/1 at 25.5 — our 9% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
47%
+2.5pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.0pp
27%
Away Win
26%
+0.5pp
42%
Under 2.5
50%
-7.7pp
58%
Over 2.5
50%
+7.7pp
57%
BTTS Yes
53%
+3.8pp
43%
BTTS No
47%
-3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Portadown FC EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Glenavon FC EU Bookmakers 30%
+14% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -25%
1.30/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/2.06
-7% / +46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -35%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
320 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Portadown FC
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Glenavon FC
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 9
6 Yellow Cards 3
04.10.2025 Portadown FC Portadown FC 3-1 HT 0-1 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC KİRL
01.04.2025 Portadown FC Portadown FC 1-1 HT 1-1 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC KİRL
26.12.2024 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC 2-0 HT 1-0 Portadown FC Portadown FC KİRL
23.11.2024 Portadown FC Portadown FC 1-0 HT 1-0 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC KİRL
05.10.2024 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC 2-1 HT 0-1 Portadown FC Portadown FC KİRL
16.01.2024 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC 0-1 HT 0-1 Portadown FC Portadown FC KILK
POST-MATCH Portadown FC vs Glenavon FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Portadown FC squeezed past Glenavon FC 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Portadown FC as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Portadown FC had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Portadown FC and 1.00 for Glenavon FC.

What was the final score of Portadown FC vs Glenavon FC?

Portadown FC 1-0 Glenavon FC in the North Ireland - Premier League on 26/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Portadown FC vs Glenavon FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Portadown FC win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Portadown FC 50%, draw 23%, Glenavon FC 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Portadown FC) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Portadown FC) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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