Carrick Rangers 1-2 Larne FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 26 Dec 2025

📅26/12/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.75
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
52%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.78
Over 2.5
38%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
1.85
No
61%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
2.95
2-3 Goals
39%
1.75
4-5 Goals
19%
3.66
6+ Goals
7%
15.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.95 — our 35% vs market 27.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
6.8
1/2
10%
25.5
1/X
7%
15.25
X/1
9%
8.45
X/2
9%
4.41
X/X
12%
4.69
2/1
5%
35.0
2/2
33%
2.5
2/X
5%
13.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
23%
+0.7pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.2pp
52%
Away Win
50%
+1.5pp
62%
Under 2.5
52%
+9.9pp
38%
Over 2.5
48%
-9.9pp
39%
BTTS Yes
50%
-11.1pp
61%
BTTS No
50%
+11.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Carrick Rangers EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Larne FC EU Bookmakers 55%
-9% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +9%
1.18/1.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/0.86
-1% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +39%
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
237 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 368 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Carrick Rangers
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Larne FC
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
33% Ball Possession 67%
3 Total Shots 14
1 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 2
20.09.2025 Larne FC Larne FC 2-0 HT 1-0 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers KİRL
04.03.2025 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers 1-0 HT 0-0 Larne FC Larne FC KİRL
04.02.2025 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers 1-2 HT 1-0 Larne FC Larne FC KİRL
26.12.2024 Larne FC Larne FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers KİRL
26.12.2023 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers 1-2 HT 0-1 Larne FC Larne FC KİRL
20.10.2023 Larne FC Larne FC 2-0 HT 1-0 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers KİRL
POST-MATCH Carrick Rangers vs Larne FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Larne FC squeezed past Carrick Rangers 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Larne FC as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Larne FC led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Carrick Rangers and 1.33 for Larne FC.

What was the final score of Carrick Rangers vs Larne FC?

Carrick Rangers 1-2 Larne FC in the North Ireland - Premier League on 26/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Carrick Rangers vs Larne FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Larne FC win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Carrick Rangers 24%, draw 24%, Larne FC 52%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Larne FC) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Larne FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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