Ballymena United 2-0 Coleraine FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 26 Dec 2025

📅26/12/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
17%
4.71
Draw
23%
3.94
Away
60%
1.56
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.95
Over 2.5
51%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.88
No
52%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.36
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
25%
3.29
6+ Goals
8%
12.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.36 — our 27% vs market 23.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
9.42
1/2
9%
22.7
1/X
6%
18.4
X/1
9%
11.25
X/2
16%
3.99
X/X
11%
5.71
2/1
3%
35.0
2/2
36%
1.96
2/X
6%
16.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
17%
Home Win
18%
-1.2pp
23%
Draw
22%
+0.6pp
60%
Away Win
60%
+0.6pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.5pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ballymena United EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Coleraine FC EU Bookmakers 64%
+9% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -7%
1.13/1.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.12/0.95
+3% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -3%
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
352 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 371 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ballymena United
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Coleraine FC
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 4
11.10.2025 Ballymena United Ballymena United 1-3 HT 0-2 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC KİRL
26.12.2024 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC 2-2 HT 0-2 Ballymena United Ballymena United KİRL
19.10.2024 Ballymena United Ballymena United 0-1 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC KİRL
16.08.2024 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC 4-2 HT 1-1 Ballymena United Ballymena United KİRL
26.12.2023 Ballymena United Ballymena United 3-1 HT 0-1 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC KİRL
07.11.2023 Ballymena United Ballymena United 1-1 HT 1-0 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC KILK
POST-MATCH Ballymena United vs Coleraine FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ballymena United saw off Coleraine FC 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Coleraine FC at 60% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Coleraine FC led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Ballymena United and 2.00 for Coleraine FC.

What was the final score of Ballymena United vs Coleraine FC?

Ballymena United 2-0 Coleraine FC in the North Ireland - Premier League on 26/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ballymena United vs Coleraine FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Coleraine FC win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Ballymena United 17%, draw 23%, Coleraine FC 60%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Coleraine FC), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Coleraine FC) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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