Cliftonville 1-2 Crusaders FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 26 Dec 2025

📅26/12/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.53
Draw
22%
4.08
Away
20%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.21
Over 2.5
60%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.73
No
41%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.23
2-3 Goals
39%
1.86
4-5 Goals
30%
2.84
6+ Goals
9%
8.21
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1.89
1/2
4%
35.0
1/X
5%
15.85
X/1
16%
4.14
X/2
9%
11.7
X/X
8%
6.49
2/1
6%
20.65
2/2
8%
9.12
2/X
9%
17.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
61%
-3.4pp
22%
Draw
21%
+0.4pp
21%
Away Win
18%
+3.0pp
40%
Under 2.5
41%
-1.4pp
60%
Over 2.5
59%
+1.4pp
59%
BTTS Yes
54%
+5.3pp
41%
BTTS No
46%
-5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cliftonville EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Crusaders FC EU Bookmakers 21%
+9% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +25%
2.61/0.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.27
+34% / +55% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +43%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
325 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cliftonville
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Crusaders FC
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 2
01.03.2025 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC 1-2 HT 0-1 Cliftonville Cliftonville KİRK
26.12.2024 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC 2-0 HT 0-0 Cliftonville Cliftonville KİRL
01.11.2024 Cliftonville Cliftonville 1-0 HT 1-0 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC KİRL
24.08.2024 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC 1-1 HT 1-1 Cliftonville Cliftonville KİRL
16.04.2024 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC 2-1 HT 1-0 Cliftonville Cliftonville KİRL
26.12.2023 Cliftonville Cliftonville 2-1 HT 1-0 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC KİRL
POST-MATCH Cliftonville vs Crusaders FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Crusaders FC edged past Cliftonville 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

This one beat our numbers. Cliftonville carried 58% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cliftonville had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Cliftonville and 1.17 for Crusaders FC.

What was the final score of Cliftonville vs Crusaders FC?

Cliftonville 1-2 Crusaders FC in the North Ireland - Premier League on 26/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cliftonville vs Crusaders FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cliftonville win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Cliftonville 58%, draw 22%, Crusaders FC 21%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Cliftonville) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cliftonville) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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