Ballymena United 1-3 Coleraine FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 11 Oct 2025

📅11/10/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
4.13
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
56%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.91
Over 2.5
53%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.82
No
48%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.29
2-3 Goals
40%
1.75
4-5 Goals
24%
3.28
6+ Goals
11%
12.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
7.78
1/2
8%
22.7
1/X
5%
16.45
X/1
6%
9.64
X/2
19%
4.14
X/X
9%
5.32
2/1
6%
35.0
2/2
29%
2.16
2/X
10%
14.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
21%
+0.1pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.4pp
56%
Away Win
55%
+0.3pp
47%
Under 2.5
48%
-1.2pp
53%
Over 2.5
52%
+1.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.9pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ballymena United EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Coleraine FC EU Bookmakers 60%
+12% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -2%
1.24/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.32/1.08
+16% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / -2%
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
291 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 351 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ballymena United
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Coleraine FC
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 2
26.12.2024 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC 2-2 HT 0-2 Ballymena United Ballymena United KİRL
19.10.2024 Ballymena United Ballymena United 0-1 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC KİRL
16.08.2024 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC 4-2 HT 1-1 Ballymena United Ballymena United KİRL
26.12.2023 Ballymena United Ballymena United 3-1 HT 0-1 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC KİRL
07.11.2023 Ballymena United Ballymena United 1-1 HT 1-0 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC KILK
21.10.2023 Ballymena United Ballymena United 3-1 HT 0-0 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC KİRL
POST-MATCH Ballymena United vs Coleraine FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Coleraine FC got the better of Ballymena United 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Coleraine FC as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Ballymena United and 1.67 for Coleraine FC.

What was the final score of Ballymena United vs Coleraine FC?

Ballymena United 1-3 Coleraine FC in the North Ireland - Premier League on 11/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ballymena United vs Coleraine FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Coleraine FC win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Ballymena United 21%, draw 23%, Coleraine FC 56%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Coleraine FC), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Coleraine FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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