Dungannon Swifts 3-1 Glentoran FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 11 Oct 2025

📅11/10/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
3.87
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
53%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.91
Over 2.5
52%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.76
No
50%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.25
2-3 Goals
35%
1.75
4-5 Goals
27%
3.32
6+ Goals
10%
12.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.25 — our 28% vs market 24.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
7.07
1/2
8%
23.1
1/X
5%
15.55
X/1
6%
8.94
X/2
22%
4.29
X/X
13%
5.1
2/1
6%
35.0
2/2
23%
2.3
2/X
7%
14.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
22%
-0.4pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.3pp
53%
Away Win
53%
+0.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
48%
-0.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
52%
+0.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.2pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dungannon Swifts EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Glentoran FC EU Bookmakers 57%
+7% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -7%
1.13/1.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.71/0.90
+5% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +21%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
244 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 358 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dungannon Swifts
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Glentoran FC
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
47% Ball Possession 53%
6 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 3
19.04.2025 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts 3-2 HT 2-1 Glentoran FC Glentoran FC KİRL
08.02.2025 Glentoran FC Glentoran FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts KİRL
12.10.2024 Glentoran FC Glentoran FC 2-0 HT 0-0 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts KİRL
07.09.2024 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts 1-0 HT 1-0 Glentoran FC Glentoran FC KİRL
16.03.2024 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts 0-3 HT 0-2 Glentoran FC Glentoran FC KİRL
23.12.2023 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts 1-2 HT 1-0 Glentoran FC Glentoran FC KİRL
POST-MATCH Dungannon Swifts vs Glentoran FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dungannon Swifts got the better of Glentoran FC 3-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Glentoran FC at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Glentoran FC led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Dungannon Swifts and 1.67 for Glentoran FC.

What was the final score of Dungannon Swifts vs Glentoran FC?

Dungannon Swifts 3-1 Glentoran FC in the North Ireland - Premier League on 11/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dungannon Swifts vs Glentoran FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Glentoran FC win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Dungannon Swifts 22%, draw 25%, Glentoran FC 53%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Glentoran FC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Glentoran FC) ✓ Over 2.5
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