Glenavon FC 0-3 Bangor FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 11 Oct 2025

📅11/10/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.67
Draw
17%
3.45
Away
48%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
1.97
Over 2.5
57%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.66
No
45%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.4
2-3 Goals
35%
1.76
4-5 Goals
30%
3.2
6+ Goals
9%
11.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
4.23
1/2 EV+ ✗
8%
25.5
1/X
5%
13.45
X/1
12%
6.22
X/2
19%
5.26
X/X
7%
4.97
2/1
5%
29.0
2/2
21%
3.27
2/X
5%
13.15
Value flag · 1/2 at 25.5 — our 8% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
34%
+1.7pp
17%
Draw
26%
-8.5pp
48%
Away Win
41%
+6.9pp
43%
Under 2.5
47%
-3.7pp
57%
Over 2.5
53%
+3.7pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-0.9pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Glenavon FC EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Bangor FC EU Bookmakers 45%
+1% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-8% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
313 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Glenavon FC vs Bangor FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bangor FC swept aside Glenavon FC 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Bangor FC as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (57%) landed while both teams to score (55%) missed.

What was the final score of Glenavon FC vs Bangor FC?

Glenavon FC 0-3 Bangor FC in the North Ireland - Premier League on 11/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Glenavon FC vs Bangor FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bangor FC win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Glenavon FC 35%, draw 17%, Bangor FC 48%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bangor FC), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bangor FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
KİRL More North Ireland - Premier League
11 Oct 2025
17:00 Ballymena United vs Coleraine FC Analysis →
17:00 Carrick Rangers vs Portadown FC Analysis →
17:00 Dungannon Swifts vs Glentoran FC Analysis →