Carrick Rangers 1-0 Portadown FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 11 Oct 2025

📅11/10/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.02
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
33%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
1.9
Over 2.5
57%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.73
No
38%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.21
2-3 Goals
39%
1.75
4-5 Goals
26%
3.35
6+ Goals
12%
12.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
2.91
1/2
5%
33.0
1/X
7%
13.5
X/1
20%
4.81
X/2
17%
6.84
X/X
10%
4.9
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
24.45
2/2
11%
4.99
2/X
7%
14.15
Value flag · 2/1 at 24.45 — our 10% vs market 2.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
46%
-2.4pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.7pp
33%
Away Win
29%
+4.2pp
43%
Under 2.5
49%
-5.8pp
57%
Over 2.5
51%
+5.8pp
62%
BTTS Yes
54%
+8.6pp
38%
BTTS No
46%
-8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Carrick Rangers EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Portadown FC EU Bookmakers 32%
-8% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -13%
1.08/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.62/2.17
-22% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / -44%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
415 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 214 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Carrick Rangers
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Portadown FC
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
05.04.2025 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers 4-1 HT 3-1 Portadown FC Portadown FC KİRL
08.03.2025 Portadown FC Portadown FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers KİRL
09.11.2024 Portadown FC Portadown FC 1-1 HT 0-1 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers KİRL
07.09.2024 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers 0-1 HT 0-0 Portadown FC Portadown FC KİRL
06.01.2024 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers 1-1 HT 1-1 Portadown FC Portadown FC KİRK
15.04.2023 Portadown FC Portadown FC 3-1 HT 2-0 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers KİRL
POST-MATCH Carrick Rangers vs Portadown FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Carrick Rangers edged past Portadown FC 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Carrick Rangers as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (62%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Portadown FC led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Carrick Rangers and 1.33 for Portadown FC.

What was the final score of Carrick Rangers vs Portadown FC?

Carrick Rangers 1-0 Portadown FC in the North Ireland - Premier League on 11/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Carrick Rangers vs Portadown FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Carrick Rangers win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Carrick Rangers 43%, draw 24%, Portadown FC 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Carrick Rangers) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Carrick Rangers) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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