Dungannon Swifts 3-2 Glentoran FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 19 Apr 2025

📅19/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
3.46
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
42%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.95
Over 2.5
50%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.73
No
54%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.41
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.24
6+ Goals
11%
11.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.41 — our 30% vs market 23.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
6.09
1/2
12%
23.3
1/X
9%
14.85
X/1
10%
8.07
X/2
15%
4.53
X/X
9%
5.18
2/1
6%
35.0
2/2
15%
2.53
2/X
6%
13.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
26%
+9.1pp
23%
Draw
25%
-2.0pp
42%
Away Win
50%
-7.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
54%
-8.2pp
54%
BTTS No
46%
+8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dungannon Swifts EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Glentoran FC EU Bookmakers 54%
+2% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -9%
1.17/1.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.72/0.79
-3% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +48%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
297 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 416 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dungannon Swifts
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Glentoran FC
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
45% Ball Possession 55%
7 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 9
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.02.2025 Glentoran FC Glentoran FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts KİRL
12.10.2024 Glentoran FC Glentoran FC 2-0 HT 0-0 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts KİRL
07.09.2024 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts 1-0 HT 1-0 Glentoran FC Glentoran FC KİRL
16.03.2024 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts 0-3 HT 0-2 Glentoran FC Glentoran FC KİRL
23.12.2023 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts 1-2 HT 1-0 Glentoran FC Glentoran FC KİRL
16.09.2023 Glentoran FC Glentoran FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts KİRL
POST-MATCH Dungannon Swifts vs Glentoran FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dungannon Swifts edged past Glentoran FC 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Glentoran FC at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Glentoran FC led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Dungannon Swifts and 1.33 for Glentoran FC.

What was the final score of Dungannon Swifts vs Glentoran FC?

Dungannon Swifts 3-2 Glentoran FC in the North Ireland - Premier League on 19/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dungannon Swifts vs Glentoran FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Glentoran FC win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Dungannon Swifts 35%, draw 23%, Glentoran FC 42%. The final score 3-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Glentoran FC) ✗ BTTS No
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