Larne FC 2-0 Carrick Rangers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 20 Sep 2025

📅20/09/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.72
Draw
19%
3.64
Away
16%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.8
Over 2.5
52%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.88
No
56%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2.93
2-3 Goals
42%
1.71
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
24%
3.52
6+ Goals
10%
14.65
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.52 — our 24% vs market 21.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.2
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
5%
14.95
X/1
24%
4.02
X/2
6%
9.07
X/X
9%
4.95
2/1
14%
23.65
2/2
6%
7.53
2/X
5%
16.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
54%
+10.4pp
19%
Draw
24%
-5.1pp
16%
Away Win
21%
-5.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
52%
-3.7pp
52%
Over 2.5
48%
+3.7pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-5.5pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Larne FC EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Carrick Rangers EU Bookmakers 24%
-3% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -5%
1.80/0.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.92
+0% / +68% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -17%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
349 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Larne FC
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Carrick Rangers
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
70% Ball Possession 30%
14 Total Shots 5
8 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 0
04.03.2025 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers 1-0 HT 0-0 Larne FC Larne FC KİRL
04.02.2025 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers 1-2 HT 1-0 Larne FC Larne FC KİRL
26.12.2024 Larne FC Larne FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers KİRL
26.12.2023 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers 1-2 HT 0-1 Larne FC Larne FC KİRL
20.10.2023 Larne FC Larne FC 2-0 HT 1-0 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers KİRL
22.09.2023 Larne FC Larne FC 4-1 HT 3-0 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers KİRL
POST-MATCH Larne FC vs Carrick Rangers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Larne FC beat Carrick Rangers 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Larne FC as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (56%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Larne FC had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Larne FC and 0.67 for Carrick Rangers.

What was the final score of Larne FC vs Carrick Rangers?

Larne FC 2-0 Carrick Rangers in the North Ireland - Premier League on 20/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Larne FC vs Carrick Rangers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Larne FC win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Larne FC 65%, draw 19%, Carrick Rangers 16%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Larne FC), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Larne FC) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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