Dungannon Swifts 2-1 Cliftonville — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 20 Sep 2025

📅20/09/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.08
Draw
18%
3.45
Away
54%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
2.0
Over 2.5
65%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.66
No
41%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
3.46
2-3 Goals
42%
1.75
4-5 Goals
28%
3.09
6+ Goals
11%
10.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
4.95
1/2 EV+ ✗
11%
23.2
1/X
6%
13.65
X/1
9%
6.98
X/2
20%
4.78
X/X
7%
5.05
2/1
7%
32.0
2/2
23%
2.77
2/X
6%
13.05
Value flag · 1/2 at 23.2 — our 11% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
29%
-1.5pp
18%
Draw
26%
-7.1pp
54%
Away Win
45%
+8.6pp
35%
Under 2.5
46%
-10.9pp
65%
Over 2.5
54%
+10.9pp
59%
BTTS Yes
56%
+2.7pp
41%
BTTS No
44%
-2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dungannon Swifts EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Cliftonville EU Bookmakers 49%
+8% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -7%
1.21/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.71/1.44
-3% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -21%
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
339 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 421 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dungannon Swifts
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Cliftonville
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.05.2025 Cliftonville Cliftonville 1-1 HT 0-1 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts KİRK
12.03.2025 Cliftonville Cliftonville 0-2 HT 0-0 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts KİRL
09.11.2024 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts 1-4 HT 1-3 Cliftonville Cliftonville KİRL
20.08.2024 Cliftonville Cliftonville 1-0 HT 0-0 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts KİRL
24.02.2024 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts 3-1 HT 1-0 Cliftonville Cliftonville KİRL
02.12.2023 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts 1-4 HT 1-0 Cliftonville Cliftonville KİRL
POST-MATCH Dungannon Swifts vs Cliftonville
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dungannon Swifts edged past Cliftonville 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match lean was Cliftonville at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (65%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cliftonville led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Dungannon Swifts and 1.83 for Cliftonville.

What was the final score of Dungannon Swifts vs Cliftonville?

Dungannon Swifts 2-1 Cliftonville in the North Ireland - Premier League on 20/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dungannon Swifts vs Cliftonville?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cliftonville win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Dungannon Swifts 28%, draw 18%, Cliftonville 54%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Cliftonville) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cliftonville) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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