Crusaders FC 1-1 Ballymena United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 20 Sep 2025

📅20/09/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.53
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
35%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.9
Over 2.5
56%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.73
No
42%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
14%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
36%
+5.4pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.6pp
35%
Away Win
39%
-3.8pp
44%
Under 2.5
49%
-4.9pp
56%
Over 2.5
51%
+4.9pp
58%
BTTS Yes
54%
+4.0pp
42%
BTTS No
46%
-4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Crusaders FC EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Ballymena United EU Bookmakers 43%
+7% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +0%
1.62/1.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.12
+31% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +8%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
249 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 373 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Crusaders FC
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Ballymena United
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
15.02.2025 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC 3-1 HT 2-1 Ballymena United Ballymena United KİRL
26.10.2024 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Ballymena United Ballymena United KİRL
20.08.2024 Ballymena United Ballymena United 0-1 HT 0-1 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC KİRL
09.03.2024 Ballymena United Ballymena United 2-4 HT 2-1 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC KİRL
13.10.2023 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC 1-0 HT 1-0 Ballymena United Ballymena United KİRL
11.08.2023 Ballymena United Ballymena United 1-2 HT 0-2 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC KİRL
POST-MATCH Crusaders FC vs Ballymena United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Crusaders FC and Ballymena United shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Crusaders FC at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (58%) landed while over 2.5 goals (56%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Crusaders FC had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Crusaders FC and 0.67 for Ballymena United.

What was the final score of Crusaders FC vs Ballymena United?

Crusaders FC 1-1 Ballymena United in the North Ireland - Premier League on 20/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Crusaders FC vs Ballymena United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Crusaders FC win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Crusaders FC 41%, draw 24%, Ballymena United 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Crusaders FC), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Crusaders FC) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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