Portadown FC 1-1 Glenavon FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 1 Apr 2025

📅01/04/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.46
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
34%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.78
Over 2.5
40%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.76
No
57%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.88
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
19%
3.73
6+ Goals
8%
16.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.88 — our 32% vs market 27.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.85
1/2
6%
30.0
1/X
7%
13.7
X/1
13%
5.59
X/2
12%
5.63
X/X
11%
4.51
2/1
9%
30.0
2/2
16%
3.91
2/X
7%
13.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
37%
+4.6pp
24%
Draw
27%
-2.7pp
34%
Away Win
36%
-1.8pp
60%
Under 2.5
52%
+7.4pp
40%
Over 2.5
48%
-7.4pp
43%
BTTS Yes
53%
-10.1pp
57%
BTTS No
47%
+10.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Portadown FC EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Glenavon FC EU Bookmakers 39%
+7% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +7%
1.27/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.54/1.23
-2% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +2%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
282 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Portadown FC
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Glenavon FC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 8
4 Yellow Cards 2
26.12.2024 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC 2-0 HT 1-0 Portadown FC Portadown FC KİRL
23.11.2024 Portadown FC Portadown FC 1-0 HT 1-0 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC KİRL
05.10.2024 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC 2-1 HT 0-1 Portadown FC Portadown FC KİRL
16.01.2024 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC 0-1 HT 0-1 Portadown FC Portadown FC KILK
29.04.2023 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Portadown FC Portadown FC KİRL
18.02.2023 Portadown FC Portadown FC 3-1 HT 1-0 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC KİRL
POST-MATCH Portadown FC vs Glenavon FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Portadown FC and Glenavon FC couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Portadown FC at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (60%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Portadown FC had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Portadown FC and 0.83 for Glenavon FC.

What was the final score of Portadown FC vs Glenavon FC?

Portadown FC 1-1 Glenavon FC in the North Ireland - Premier League on 01/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Portadown FC vs Glenavon FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Portadown FC win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Portadown FC 42%, draw 24%, Glenavon FC 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Portadown FC), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Portadown FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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