Carrick Rangers 1-3 Cliftonville — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 1 Apr 2025

📅01/04/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.29
Draw
32%
3.35
Away
34%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.74
Over 2.5
37%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
1.85
No
61%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
40%
2.78
2-3 Goals
35%
1.74
4-5 Goals
19%
3.86
6+ Goals
6%
17.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.78 — our 40% vs market 29.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
5.68
1/2
8%
26.5
1/X
7%
15.05
X/1
9%
7.2
X/2
13%
4.56
X/X
22%
4.56
2/1
4%
35.0
2/2
13%
2.83
2/X
4%
14.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
27%
+6.9pp
33%
Draw
26%
+6.1pp
34%
Away Win
47%
-13.0pp
63%
Under 2.5
54%
+9.4pp
37%
Over 2.5
46%
-9.4pp
39%
BTTS Yes
50%
-10.8pp
61%
BTTS No
50%
+10.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Carrick Rangers EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Cliftonville EU Bookmakers 50%
-5% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -10%
1.19/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.73/1.48
+1% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / -23%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
234 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Carrick Rangers
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Cliftonville
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.03.2025 Cliftonville Cliftonville 3-0 HT 1-0 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers KİRL
12.02.2025 Cliftonville Cliftonville 3-0 HT 1-0 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers KİRL
05.10.2024 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers 2-0 HT 1-0 Cliftonville Cliftonville KİRL
26.01.2024 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers 0-1 HT 0-0 Cliftonville Cliftonville KİRL
19.11.2023 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers 0-3 HT 0-1 Cliftonville Cliftonville KİRL
19.08.2023 Cliftonville Cliftonville 4-0 HT 3-0 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers KİRL
POST-MATCH Carrick Rangers vs Cliftonville
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cliftonville got the better of Carrick Rangers 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (34% / 33% / 34%) promised a tight game; Cliftonville found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cliftonville led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Carrick Rangers and 2.33 for Cliftonville.

What was the final score of Carrick Rangers vs Cliftonville?

Carrick Rangers 1-3 Cliftonville in the North Ireland - Premier League on 01/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Carrick Rangers vs Cliftonville?

Before kick-off our model rated a Carrick Rangers win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Carrick Rangers 34%, draw 33%, Cliftonville 34%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (34/33/34) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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