Ballymena United 5-2 Loughgall FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 1 Apr 2025

📅01/04/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.49
Draw
26%
4.19
Away
23%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.21
Over 2.5
51%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.75
No
51%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
4.21
2-3 Goals
39%
1.86
4-5 Goals
24%
2.84
6+ Goals
9%
8.22
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1.81
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
7%
16.3
X/1
20%
4.07
X/2
6%
12.7
X/X
9%
6.57
2/1
5%
20.85
2/2
12%
10.1
2/X EV+ ✗
10%
18.5
Value flag · 2/X at 18.5 — our 10% vs market 3.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
63%
-12.2pp
26%
Draw
21%
+5.2pp
23%
Away Win
16%
+7.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
41%
+8.1pp
51%
Over 2.5
59%
-8.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.5pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ballymena United EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Loughgall FC EU Bookmakers 19%
+6% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -1%
2.27/0.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.74
+17% / +53% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -3%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
350 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ballymena United
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Loughgall FC
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 1
22.03.2025 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC 2-1 HT 1-1 Ballymena United Ballymena United KİRL
21.12.2024 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC 2-3 HT 1-2 Ballymena United Ballymena United KİRL
05.10.2024 Ballymena United Ballymena United 4-1 HT 3-1 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC KİRL
06.04.2024 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC 2-3 HT 0-2 Ballymena United Ballymena United KİRL
27.01.2024 Ballymena United Ballymena United 0-1 HT 0-0 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC KİRL
04.11.2023 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC 5-2 HT 3-1 Ballymena United Ballymena United KİRL
POST-MATCH Ballymena United vs Loughgall FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ballymena United swept aside Loughgall FC 5-2. Half-time: 3-0. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Ballymena United as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 5-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Ballymena United and 2.17 for Loughgall FC.

What was the final score of Ballymena United vs Loughgall FC?

Ballymena United 5-2 Loughgall FC in the North Ireland - Premier League on 01/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ballymena United vs Loughgall FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ballymena United win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Ballymena United 51%, draw 26%, Loughgall FC 23%. The final score 5-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ballymena United), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ballymena United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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