Loughgall FC 2-1 Ballymena United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 22 Mar 2025

📅22/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
3.69
Draw
32%
3.54
Away
45%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.86
Over 2.5
45%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.76
No
50%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.11
2-3 Goals
44%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
3.39
6+ Goals
9%
13.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.11 — our 26% vs market 25.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
6.41
1/2
7%
23.85
1/X
8%
15.1
X/1
10%
8.16
X/2
11%
4.35
X/X
17%
4.92
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
27%
2.45
2/X
7%
13.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
24%
-1.0pp
32%
Draw
25%
+6.6pp
45%
Away Win
51%
-5.6pp
55%
Under 2.5
50%
+5.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
50%
-5.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.8pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Loughgall FC EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Ballymena United EU Bookmakers 55%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -5%
1.18/1.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/1.08
-2% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +5%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
297 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 349 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
5.0 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Loughgall FC
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Ballymena United
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 3
21.12.2024 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC 2-3 HT 1-2 Ballymena United Ballymena United KİRL
05.10.2024 Ballymena United Ballymena United 4-1 HT 3-1 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC KİRL
06.04.2024 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC 2-3 HT 0-2 Ballymena United Ballymena United KİRL
27.01.2024 Ballymena United Ballymena United 0-1 HT 0-0 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC KİRL
04.11.2023 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC 5-2 HT 3-1 Ballymena United Ballymena United KİRL
16.09.2023 Ballymena United Ballymena United 1-3 HT 1-0 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC KİRL
POST-MATCH Loughgall FC vs Ballymena United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Loughgall FC edged past Ballymena United 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Ballymena United at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Loughgall FC and 2.17 for Ballymena United.

What was the final score of Loughgall FC vs Ballymena United?

Loughgall FC 2-1 Ballymena United in the North Ireland - Premier League on 22/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Loughgall FC vs Ballymena United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ballymena United win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Loughgall FC 23%, draw 32%, Ballymena United 45%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Ballymena United) ✗ Under 2.5
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