Glentoran FC 0-1 Crusaders FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 22 Mar 2025

📅22/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.0
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
34%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.78
Over 2.5
38%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
1.81
No
63%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
31%
2.89
2-3 Goals
46%
1.72
4-5 Goals
17%
3.62
6+ Goals
6%
15.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.89 — our 31% vs market 27.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.81
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
5%
13.35
X/1
12%
4.64
X/2
14%
7.17
X/X
11%
4.52
2/1
8%
25.5
2/2
16%
5.48
2/X
9%
14.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
46%
-5.2pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.6pp
34%
Away Win
27%
+7.8pp
62%
Under 2.5
52%
+9.8pp
38%
Over 2.5
48%
-9.8pp
37%
BTTS Yes
51%
-13.9pp
63%
BTTS No
49%
+13.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Glentoran FC EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Crusaders FC EU Bookmakers 30%
-6% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +4%
1.24/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.21
-16% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +23%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
429 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Glentoran FC
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Crusaders FC
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
14.01.2025 Glentoran FC Glentoran FC 4-2 HT 2-0 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC KİRLK
13.12.2024 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC 1-3 HT 1-0 Glentoran FC Glentoran FC KİRL
09.08.2024 Glentoran FC Glentoran FC 0-1 HT 0-1 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC KİRL
27.04.2024 Glentoran FC Glentoran FC 4-0 HT 1-0 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC KİRL
27.01.2024 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC 1-2 HT 0-1 Glentoran FC Glentoran FC KİRL
28.10.2023 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC 1-1 HT 1-1 Glentoran FC Glentoran FC KİRL
POST-MATCH Glentoran FC vs Crusaders FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Crusaders FC nicked a narrow win over Glentoran FC 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Glentoran FC at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (63%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Glentoran FC had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Glentoran FC and 1.00 for Crusaders FC.

What was the final score of Glentoran FC vs Crusaders FC?

Glentoran FC 0-1 Crusaders FC in the North Ireland - Premier League on 22/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Glentoran FC vs Crusaders FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Glentoran FC win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Glentoran FC 41%, draw 25%, Crusaders FC 34%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Glentoran FC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Glentoran FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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