Glenavon FC 0-1 Larne FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 22 Mar 2025

📅22/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.8
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
30%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.67
Over 2.5
44%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.88
No
53%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.53
2-3 Goals
38%
1.71
4-5 Goals
22%
4.14
6+ Goals
7%
21.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
4.55
1/2
6%
29.5
1/X
11%
14.3
X/1
18%
5.98
X/2
16%
4.94
X/X
15%
4.19
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
8%
3.41
2/X
4%
13.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
32%
+7.1pp
31%
Draw
28%
+2.8pp
30%
Away Win
40%
-9.9pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.0pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.3pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Glenavon FC EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Larne FC EU Bookmakers 43%
+0% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +17%
1.55/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.57/1.05
+28% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / +19%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
297 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Glenavon FC
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Larne FC
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.33
44% Ball Possession 56%
6 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.02.2025 Larne FC Larne FC 1-1 HT 1-0 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC KİRL
17.09.2024 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Larne FC Larne FC KİRL
16.03.2024 Larne FC Larne FC 6-1 HT 5-1 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC KİRL
03.02.2024 Larne FC Larne FC 5-0 HT 2-0 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC KİRK
08.12.2023 Larne FC Larne FC 4-1 HT 1-0 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC KİRL
30.09.2023 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC 0-4 HT 0-0 Larne FC Larne FC KİRL
POST-MATCH Glenavon FC vs Larne FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Larne FC edged past Glenavon FC 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 31% / 30% — and on the day Larne FC made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Larne FC led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Glenavon FC and 3.33 for Larne FC.

What was the final score of Glenavon FC vs Larne FC?

Glenavon FC 0-1 Larne FC in the North Ireland - Premier League on 22/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Glenavon FC vs Larne FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Glenavon FC win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Glenavon FC 39%, draw 31%, Larne FC 30%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Glenavon FC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Glenavon FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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