Coleraine FC 1-0 Portadown FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 22 Mar 2025

📅22/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.57
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
26%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.75
Over 2.5
45%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.06
No
55%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
32%
2.79
2-3 Goals
40%
1.72
4-5 Goals
19%
3.74
6+ Goals
9%
16.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.79 — our 32% vs market 28.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1.98
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
16.65
X/1
18%
3.81
X/2
11%
11.15
X/X
15%
5.04
2/1
5%
25.0
2/2
10%
9.93
2/X
6%
18.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
60%
-13.1pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.6pp
26%
Away Win
17%
+9.6pp
55%
Under 2.5
53%
+1.8pp
45%
Over 2.5
47%
-1.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
44%
+0.7pp
55%
BTTS No
56%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Coleraine FC EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Portadown FC EU Bookmakers 20%
-4% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +12%
1.90/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.42
-3% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +21%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
317 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Coleraine FC
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Portadown FC
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
62% Ball Possession 38%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.03.2025 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC 2-0 HT 1-0 Portadown FC Portadown FC KİRL
17.09.2024 Portadown FC Portadown FC 2-2 HT 0-1 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC KİRL
14.01.2023 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC 4-1 HT 3-1 Portadown FC Portadown FC KİRL
29.10.2022 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC 4-0 HT 2-0 Portadown FC Portadown FC KİRL
20.08.2022 Portadown FC Portadown FC 0-2 HT 0-1 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC KİRL
19.03.2022 Portadown FC Portadown FC 2-0 HT 0-0 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC KİRL
POST-MATCH Coleraine FC vs Portadown FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Coleraine FC nicked a narrow win over Portadown FC 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Coleraine FC as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Coleraine FC had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Coleraine FC and 0.83 for Portadown FC.

What was the final score of Coleraine FC vs Portadown FC?

Coleraine FC 1-0 Portadown FC in the North Ireland - Premier League on 22/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Coleraine FC vs Portadown FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Coleraine FC win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Coleraine FC 47%, draw 27%, Portadown FC 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Coleraine FC), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Coleraine FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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