Glentoran FC 4-2 Crusaders FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - League Cup, 14 Jan 2025

📅14/01/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.75
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
27%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.67
Over 2.5
45%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.03
No
56%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.58
2-3 Goals
41%
1.71
4-5 Goals
19%
4.09
6+ Goals
13%
20.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.27
1/2
3%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.7
X/1
20%
3.96
X/2
7%
10.2
X/X
14%
4.22
2/1
4%
28.5
2/2
16%
8.65
2/X
6%
15.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
54%
-6.3pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.8pp
27%
Away Win
18%
+8.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-1.0pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+1.0pp
44%
BTTS Yes
45%
-0.7pp
56%
BTTS No
55%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Glentoran FC EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Crusaders FC EU Bookmakers 21%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
397 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Glentoran FC
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Crusaders FC
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
13.12.2024 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC 1-3 HT 1-0 Glentoran FC Glentoran FC KİRL
09.08.2024 Glentoran FC Glentoran FC 0-1 HT 0-1 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC KİRL
27.04.2024 Glentoran FC Glentoran FC 4-0 HT 1-0 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC KİRL
27.01.2024 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC 1-2 HT 0-1 Glentoran FC Glentoran FC KİRL
28.10.2023 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC 1-1 HT 1-1 Glentoran FC Glentoran FC KİRL
05.09.2023 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Glentoran FC Glentoran FC KİRLCAS
POST-MATCH Glentoran FC vs Crusaders FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Glentoran FC got the better of Crusaders FC 4-2. Half-time: 2-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Glentoran FC as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Glentoran FC had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Glentoran FC and 0.67 for Crusaders FC.

What was the final score of Glentoran FC vs Crusaders FC?

Glentoran FC 4-2 Crusaders FC in the North Ireland - League Cup on 14/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Glentoran FC vs Crusaders FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Glentoran FC win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Glentoran FC 47%, draw 26%, Crusaders FC 27%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Glentoran FC) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Glentoran FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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