Larne FC 0-1 Cliftonville — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - League Cup, 14 Jan 2025

📅14/01/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.27
Draw
32%
3.04
Away
33%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.62
Over 2.5
42%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.9
No
53%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.47
2-3 Goals
42%
1.71
4-5 Goals
21%
4.28
6+ Goals
7%
22.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.51
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.25
X/1
10%
5.06
X/2
13%
6.16
X/X
16%
3.87
2/1
6%
32.0
2/2
15%
4.66
2/X
8%
13.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
40%
-4.8pp
32%
Draw
29%
+2.7pp
33%
Away Win
30%
+2.2pp
58%
Under 2.5
58%
-0.3pp
42%
Over 2.5
42%
+0.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.4pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Larne FC EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Cliftonville EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
339 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Larne FC
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Cliftonville
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 2
10.01.2025 Larne FC Larne FC 2-0 HT 0-0 Cliftonville Cliftonville KİRL
01.12.2024 Larne FC Larne FC 1-1 HT 0-1 Cliftonville Cliftonville KİRL
27.09.2024 Cliftonville Cliftonville 1-3 HT 1-0 Larne FC Larne FC KİRL
13.04.2024 Larne FC Larne FC 8-1 HT 4-0 Cliftonville Cliftonville KİRL
30.03.2024 Cliftonville Cliftonville 2-0 HT 1-0 Larne FC Larne FC KİRK
03.11.2023 Larne FC Larne FC 2-1 HT 2-0 Cliftonville Cliftonville KİRL
POST-MATCH Larne FC vs Cliftonville
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cliftonville nicked a narrow win over Larne FC 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (35% / 32% / 33%) promised a tight game; Cliftonville found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Larne FC had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Larne FC and 1.00 for Cliftonville.

What was the final score of Larne FC vs Cliftonville?

Larne FC 0-1 Cliftonville in the North Ireland - League Cup on 14/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Larne FC vs Cliftonville?

Before kick-off our model rated a Larne FC win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Larne FC 35%, draw 32%, Cliftonville 33%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Larne FC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Larne FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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