Linfield FC 3-1 Crusaders FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 1 Apr 2025

📅01/04/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.8
Draw
30%
3.54
Away
27%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.82
Over 2.5
37%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.82
No
58%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
3.04
2-3 Goals
42%
1.75
4-5 Goals
17%
3.55
6+ Goals
8%
14.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.04 — our 33% vs market 26.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.44
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
8%
14.5
X/1
12%
4.31
X/2
11%
8.43
X/X
15%
4.95
2/1
6%
24.2
2/2
8%
6.77
2/X
7%
15.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
52%
-8.2pp
30%
Draw
25%
+5.4pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+2.8pp
63%
Under 2.5
51%
+11.7pp
37%
Over 2.5
49%
-11.7pp
42%
BTTS Yes
51%
-8.8pp
58%
BTTS No
49%
+8.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Linfield FC EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Crusaders FC EU Bookmakers 27%
+8% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +9%
1.30/0.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.13
-19% / +80% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +32%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
342 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Linfield FC
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Crusaders FC
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
55% Ball Possession 45%
9 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 4
07.03.2025 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC 0-2 HT 0-0 Linfield FC Linfield FC KİRL
28.01.2025 Linfield FC Linfield FC 2-1 HT 2-1 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC KİRL
12.10.2024 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC 2-3 HT 0-1 Linfield FC Linfield FC KİRL
12.04.2024 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC 1-2 HT 0-1 Linfield FC Linfield FC KİRL
20.01.2024 Linfield FC Linfield FC 1-0 HT 1-0 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC KİRL
02.01.2024 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC 0-1 HT 0-1 Linfield FC Linfield FC KİRL
POST-MATCH Linfield FC vs Crusaders FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Linfield FC beat Crusaders FC 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Linfield FC as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Linfield FC had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Linfield FC and 0.67 for Crusaders FC.

What was the final score of Linfield FC vs Crusaders FC?

Linfield FC 3-1 Crusaders FC in the North Ireland - Premier League on 01/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Linfield FC vs Crusaders FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Linfield FC win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Linfield FC 43%, draw 30%, Crusaders FC 26%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Linfield FC) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Linfield FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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