Linfield FC 2-1 Crusaders FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 28 Jan 2025

📅28/01/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.34
Draw
21%
4.49
Away
24%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.1
Over 2.5
46%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.99
No
60%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.83
2-3 Goals
44%
1.8
4-5 Goals
21%
2.93
6+ Goals
8%
9.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.83 — our 27% vs market 19.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1.59
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
7%
19.35
X/1
21%
3.76
X/2
6%
16.3
X/X
7%
6.82
2/1
7%
22.55
2/2
11%
14.25
2/X
7%
22.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
70%
-14.3pp
21%
Draw
19%
+2.0pp
24%
Away Win
12%
+12.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
44%
+10.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
56%
-10.1pp
40%
BTTS Yes
46%
-6.0pp
60%
BTTS No
54%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Linfield FC EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Crusaders FC EU Bookmakers 15%
+1% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
2.67/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/1.29
+16% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +78%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
340 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Linfield FC
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Crusaders FC
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 4
12.10.2024 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC 2-3 HT 0-1 Linfield FC Linfield FC KİRL
12.04.2024 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC 1-2 HT 0-1 Linfield FC Linfield FC KİRL
20.01.2024 Linfield FC Linfield FC 1-0 HT 1-0 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC KİRL
02.01.2024 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC 0-1 HT 0-1 Linfield FC Linfield FC KİRL
26.09.2023 Linfield FC Linfield FC 2-0 HT 2-0 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC KİRL
07.04.2023 Linfield FC Linfield FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC KİRL
POST-MATCH Linfield FC vs Crusaders FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Linfield FC nicked a narrow win over Crusaders FC 2-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Linfield FC as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Linfield FC had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Linfield FC and 0.50 for Crusaders FC.

What was the final score of Linfield FC vs Crusaders FC?

Linfield FC 2-1 Crusaders FC in the North Ireland - Premier League on 28/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Linfield FC vs Crusaders FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Linfield FC win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Linfield FC 55%, draw 21%, Crusaders FC 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Linfield FC) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Linfield FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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