Dungannon Swifts 1-1 Larne FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 1 Apr 2025

📅01/04/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.08
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
48%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.71
Over 2.5
47%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.88
No
52%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.69
2-3 Goals
38%
1.73
4-5 Goals
24%
4.0
6+ Goals
9%
19.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
5.39
1/2
8%
27.5
1/X
7%
14.8
X/1
9%
6.87
X/2
21%
4.68
X/X
11%
4.41
2/1
5%
35.0
2/2
19%
3.0
2/X
7%
14.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
29%
-2.1pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.2pp
48%
Away Win
44%
+4.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
55%
-1.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
45%
+1.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.5pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dungannon Swifts EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Larne FC EU Bookmakers 48%
+5% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +7%
1.25/1.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/0.90
+1% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +36%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
280 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dungannon Swifts
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Larne FC
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
42% Ball Possession 58%
7 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
22.02.2025 Larne FC Larne FC 0-1 HT 0-1 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts KİRL
23.12.2024 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts 0-1 HT 0-0 Larne FC Larne FC KİRL
06.10.2024 Larne FC Larne FC 0-3 HT 0-1 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts KİRL
20.01.2024 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts 0-2 HT 0-2 Larne FC Larne FC KİRL
13.10.2023 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts 0-0 HT 0-0 Larne FC Larne FC KİRL
07.08.2023 Larne FC Larne FC 4-4 HT 1-1 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts KİRL
POST-MATCH Dungannon Swifts vs Larne FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dungannon Swifts and Larne FC couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Larne FC at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Dungannon Swifts and 1.17 for Larne FC.

What was the final score of Dungannon Swifts vs Larne FC?

Dungannon Swifts 1-1 Larne FC in the North Ireland - Premier League on 01/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dungannon Swifts vs Larne FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Larne FC win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Dungannon Swifts 27%, draw 25%, Larne FC 48%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Larne FC), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Larne FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
KİRL More North Ireland - Premier League
1 Apr 2025
21:45 Carrick Rangers vs Cliftonville Analysis →
21:45 Ballymena United vs Loughgall FC Analysis →
21:45 Portadown FC vs Glenavon FC Analysis →
21:45 Glentoran FC vs Coleraine FC Analysis →
21:45 Linfield FC vs Crusaders FC Analysis →