Zimbru 4-1 CSF Balti — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Moldova - National League, 2 May 2026

📅02/05/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
68%
1.3
Draw
20%
4.81
Away
12%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.07
Over 2.5
50%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.09
No
55%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
44%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
14%
X/2
4%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
5%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
67%
Home Win
72%
-4.6pp
20%
Draw
17%
+2.8pp
12%
Away Win
10%
+1.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
44%
+0.7pp
55%
BTTS No
56%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zimbru EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY CSF Balti EU Bookmakers 14%
+2% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +8%
3.07/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.55/1.84
+27% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +42%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
367 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 212 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zimbru
5W-1D-0L
AWAY CSF Balti
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.03.2026 CSF Balti CSF Balti 0-2 HT 0-0 Zimbru Zimbru MOLD
09.11.2025 CSF Balti CSF Balti 1-3 HT 0-0 Zimbru Zimbru MOLD
13.09.2025 Zimbru Zimbru 2-0 HT 1-0 CSF Balti CSF Balti MOLD
19.07.2025 CSF Balti CSF Balti 1-1 HT 0-0 Zimbru Zimbru MOLD
18.05.2025 Zimbru Zimbru 3-1 HT 1-1 CSF Balti CSF Balti MOLD
12.04.2025 CSF Balti CSF Balti 0-2 HT 0-1 Zimbru Zimbru MOLD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zimbru
4-1
AWAY CSF Balti
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Zimbru vs CSF Balti
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zimbru ran out comfortable winners over CSF Balti 4-1. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Zimbru as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Zimbru had 52% of the ball to CSF Balti's 48%, shots finished 16-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zimbru had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Zimbru and 0.50 for CSF Balti.

What was the final score of Zimbru vs CSF Balti?

Zimbru 4-1 CSF Balti in the Moldova - National League on 02/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zimbru vs CSF Balti?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zimbru win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Zimbru 67%, draw 20%, CSF Balti 12%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zimbru) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Zimbru) ✗ BTTS No
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MOLD More Moldova - National League
2 May 2026
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