Miedz Legnica 1-0 Stal Mielec — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 1st Division, 2 May 2026

Miedz Legnica
1-0 HT 0-0
Stal Mielec
📅02/05/2026 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Poland - 1st Division – 2025/2026

Miedz Legnica vs Stal Mielec Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.76
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
31%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.29
Over 2.5
52%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.55
No
48%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.32
2-3 Goals
41%
1.84
4-5 Goals
23%
2.73
6+ Goals
10%
7.58
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
52%
-7.4pp
23%
Draw
23%
+0.1pp
31%
Away Win
24%
+7.3pp
48%
Under 2.5
40%
+8.4pp
52%
Over 2.5
60%
-8.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
60%
-8.0pp
48%
BTTS No
40%
+8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Miedz Legnica v Stal Mielec — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Miedz Legnica EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Stal Mielec EU Bookmakers 28%
-5% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +11%
1.93/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.62/1.67
+7% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +46% / -12%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
346 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.5

Miedz Legnica vs Stal Mielec Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Miedz Legnica
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Stal Mielec
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.36 xG 1.37
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
305 Passes 379
75% Pass Accuracy 78%
16 Box Touches 20
16 Crosses 21
4 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
26.10.2025 Stal Mielec Stal Mielec 1-2 HT 1-0 Miedz Legnica Miedz Legnica POL1
17.04.2023 Stal Mielec Stal Mielec 1-1 HT 0-0 Miedz Legnica Miedz Legnica POL
02.10.2022 Miedz Legnica Miedz Legnica 0-2 HT 0-2 Stal Mielec Stal Mielec POL
02.06.2020 Miedz Legnica Miedz Legnica 1-2 HT 1-2 Stal Mielec Stal Mielec POL1
26.08.2019 Stal Mielec Stal Mielec 1-0 HT 0-0 Miedz Legnica Miedz Legnica POL1
27.08.2017 Miedz Legnica Miedz Legnica 0-0 HT 0-0 Stal Mielec Stal Mielec POL1

Miedz Legnica 1-0 Stal Mielec — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Miedz Legnica
1-0
AWAY Stal Mielec
52% Ball Possession 48%
18 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Miedz Legnica vs Stal Mielec
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Miedz Legnica squeezed past Stal Mielec 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Miedz Legnica as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Miedz Legnica had 52% of the ball to Stal Mielec's 48%, shots finished 18-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stal Mielec led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Miedz Legnica and 1.17 for Stal Mielec.

What was the final score of Miedz Legnica vs Stal Mielec?

Miedz Legnica 1-0 Stal Mielec in the Poland - 1st Division on 02/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Miedz Legnica vs Stal Mielec?

Before kick-off our model rated a Miedz Legnica win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Miedz Legnica 45%, draw 23%, Stal Mielec 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Miedz Legnica) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Miedz Legnica) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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