Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 1-4 KS Wieczysta Krakow — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 1st Division, 2 May 2026

📅02/05/2026 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.32
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
49%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.43
Over 2.5
59%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.49
No
38%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.78
2-3 Goals
38%
1.89
4-5 Goals
28%
2.6
6+ Goals
13%
6.56
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
10%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
20%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
26%
+1.6pp
23%
Draw
23%
-0.6pp
49%
Away Win
50%
-1.0pp
41%
Under 2.5
38%
+3.5pp
59%
Over 2.5
62%
-3.5pp
62%
BTTS Yes
63%
-1.1pp
38%
BTTS No
37%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY KS Wieczysta Krakow EU Bookmakers 55%
+39% / +39% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
2.96/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.02/1.66
+150% / +118% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / -33%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
281 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.3 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
2W-1D-0L
AWAY KS Wieczysta Krakow
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
41% Ball Possession 59%
16 Total Shots 16
8 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 9
2 Yellow Cards 4
27.10.2025 KS Wieczysta Krakow KS Wieczysta Krakow 2-3 HT 2-1 Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki POL1
29.03.2025 Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 2-1 HT 1-0 KS Wieczysta Krakow KS Wieczysta Krakow POL2
01.09.2024 KS Wieczysta Krakow KS Wieczysta Krakow 1-1 HT 1-1 Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki POL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
1-4
AWAY KS Wieczysta Krakow
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 26
6 Shots on Target 12
5 Corners 5
POST-MATCH Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki vs KS Wieczysta Krakow
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KS Wieczysta Krakow ran out comfortable winners over Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 4-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had KS Wieczysta Krakow as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (62%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki had 42% of the ball to KS Wieczysta Krakow's 58%, shots finished 10-26.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki and 1.33 for KS Wieczysta Krakow.

What was the final score of Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki vs KS Wieczysta Krakow?

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 1-4 KS Wieczysta Krakow in the Poland - 1st Division on 02/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki vs KS Wieczysta Krakow?

Before kick-off our model rated an KS Wieczysta Krakow win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 28%, draw 23%, KS Wieczysta Krakow 49%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (KS Wieczysta Krakow), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (KS Wieczysta Krakow) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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