Lodzki KS 4-0 Pogon Siedlce — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 1st Division, 2 May 2026

📅02/05/2026 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.57
Draw
20%
3.72
Away
25%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.8
Over 2.5
47%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.99
No
52%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
2.86
2-3 Goals
41%
1.71
4-5 Goals
20%
3.62
6+ Goals
10%
15.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.86 — our 29% vs market 27.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
24%
X/2
10%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
60%
-4.5pp
20%
Draw
24%
-4.1pp
25%
Away Win
17%
+8.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
46%
+1.9pp
52%
BTTS No
54%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lodzki KS EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Pogon Siedlce EU Bookmakers 20%
-2% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +4%
1.73/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.57
-14% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +15%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
307 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lodzki KS
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Pogon Siedlce
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
25.10.2025 Pogon Siedlce Pogon Siedlce 3-1 HT 1-1 Lodzki KS Lodzki KS POL1
06.04.2025 Pogon Siedlce Pogon Siedlce 1-1 HT 0-0 Lodzki KS Lodzki KS POL1
13.09.2024 Lodzki KS Lodzki KS 2-0 HT 1-0 Pogon Siedlce Pogon Siedlce POL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lodzki KS
4-0
AWAY Pogon Siedlce
52% Ball Possession 48%
18 Total Shots 5
10 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Lodzki KS vs Pogon Siedlce
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lodzki KS swept aside Pogon Siedlce 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Lodzki KS as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Lodzki KS had 52% of the ball to Pogon Siedlce's 48%, shots finished 18-5.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Lodzki KS and 1.33 for Pogon Siedlce.

What was the final score of Lodzki KS vs Pogon Siedlce?

Lodzki KS 4-0 Pogon Siedlce in the Poland - 1st Division on 02/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lodzki KS vs Pogon Siedlce?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lodzki KS win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Lodzki KS 55%, draw 20%, Pogon Siedlce 25%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lodzki KS), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lodzki KS) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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