CF Os Belenenses 1-1 Uniao Santarem — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 2 May 2026

📅02/05/2026 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.47
Draw
22%
4.08
Away
19%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.86
Over 2.5
48%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.03
No
56%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
6%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
64%
-4.5pp
22%
Draw
21%
+0.8pp
19%
Away Win
15%
+3.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
50%
+1.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
50%
-1.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
45%
-1.0pp
56%
BTTS No
55%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CF Os Belenenses EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Uniao Santarem EU Bookmakers 18%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +12%
1.85/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.14
+14% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / +26%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
376 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 226 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CF Os Belenenses
3W-0D-2L
AWAY Uniao Santarem
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
08.03.2026 Uniao Santarem Uniao Santarem 0-2 HT 0-1 CF Os Belenenses POR3
24.01.2026 Uniao Santarem Uniao Santarem 2-1 HT 2-1 CF Os Belenenses POR3
02.11.2025 CF Os Belenenses 0-2 HT 0-0 Uniao Santarem Uniao Santarem POR3
12.01.2025 CF Os Belenenses 2-0 HT 2-0 Uniao Santarem Uniao Santarem POR3
29.09.2024 Uniao Santarem Uniao Santarem 1-2 HT 1-1 CF Os Belenenses POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CF Os Belenenses
1-1
AWAY Uniao Santarem
61% Ball Possession 39%
17 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 4
12 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH CF Os Belenenses vs Uniao Santarem
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CF Os Belenenses and Uniao Santarem couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

This one beat our numbers. CF Os Belenenses carried 59% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, CF Os Belenenses had 61% of the ball to Uniao Santarem's 39%, shots finished 17-6.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, CF Os Belenenses had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for CF Os Belenenses and 1.00 for Uniao Santarem.

What was the final score of CF Os Belenenses vs Uniao Santarem?

CF Os Belenenses 1-1 Uniao Santarem in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 02/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CF Os Belenenses vs Uniao Santarem?

Before kick-off our model rated a CF Os Belenenses win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split CF Os Belenenses 59%, draw 22%, Uniao Santarem 19%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (CF Os Belenenses), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (CF Os Belenenses) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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