Uniao Santarem 2-1 CF Os Belenenses — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 24 Jan 2026

📅24/01/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.99
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
40%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.6
Over 2.5
43%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.95
No
51%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
30%
+0.3pp
30%
Draw
28%
+1.7pp
40%
Away Win
42%
-2.0pp
57%
Under 2.5
59%
-1.3pp
43%
Over 2.5
41%
+1.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.2pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Uniao Santarem EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY CF Os Belenenses EU Bookmakers 46%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
0.87/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.89/0.99
-28% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / +14%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
328 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Uniao Santarem
1W-0D-2L
AWAY CF Os Belenenses
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
02.11.2025 CF Os Belenenses 0-2 HT 0-0 Uniao Santarem Uniao Santarem POR3
12.01.2025 CF Os Belenenses 2-0 HT 2-0 Uniao Santarem Uniao Santarem POR3
29.09.2024 Uniao Santarem Uniao Santarem 1-2 HT 1-1 CF Os Belenenses POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Uniao Santarem
2-1
AWAY CF Os Belenenses
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Uniao Santarem vs CF Os Belenenses
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Uniao Santarem nicked a narrow win over CF Os Belenenses 2-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 30% / 30% / 40% — and on the day Uniao Santarem made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Uniao Santarem had 49% of the ball to CF Os Belenenses's 51%, shots finished 10-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, CF Os Belenenses led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Uniao Santarem and 1.33 for CF Os Belenenses.

What was the final score of Uniao Santarem vs CF Os Belenenses?

Uniao Santarem 2-1 CF Os Belenenses in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 24/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Uniao Santarem vs CF Os Belenenses?

Before kick-off our model rated an CF Os Belenenses win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Uniao Santarem 30%, draw 30%, CF Os Belenenses 40%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (CF Os Belenenses) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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