Caldas vs Academica Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Caldas v Academica — Team-Based Signals
Caldas vs Academica Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Caldas 1-0 Academica — Actual Match Statistics
Caldas nicked a narrow win over Academica 1-0.
Our pre-match split (33% / 28% / 39%) promised a tight game; Caldas found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, Caldas had 43% of the ball to Academica's 57%, shots finished 8-16.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Caldas and 1.67 for Academica.
What was the final score of Caldas vs Academica?
Caldas 1-0 Academica in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 24/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Caldas vs Academica?
Before kick-off our model rated an Academica win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Caldas 33%, draw 28%, Academica 39%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Academica), BTTS Yes went the other way.