Atletico CP 1-2 Mafra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 24 Jan 2026

📅24/01/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.86
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
28%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.6
Over 2.5
44%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.06
No
53%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
50%
-3.3pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.6pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+3.9pp
56%
Under 2.5
59%
-2.3pp
44%
Over 2.5
41%
+2.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
44%
+2.1pp
53%
BTTS No
56%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico CP EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Mafra EU Bookmakers 27%
-8% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
1.52/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/2.49
+14% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +59% / -50%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
332 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico CP
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Mafra
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 13
1 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
02.11.2025 Mafra Mafra 1-0 HT 1-0 Atletico CP Atletico CP POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico CP
1-2
AWAY Mafra
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 5
11 Corners 10
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Atletico CP vs Mafra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mafra squeezed past Atletico CP 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Atletico CP at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Atletico CP had 47% of the ball to Mafra's 53%, shots finished 11-16.

What was the final score of Atletico CP vs Mafra?

Atletico CP 1-2 Mafra in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 24/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico CP vs Mafra?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico CP win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Atletico CP 46%, draw 26%, Mafra 27%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Atletico CP) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
POR3 More Portugal - 3rd Division
24 Jan 2026
18:00 Caldas vs Academica Analysis →
18:00 Amora FC vs Sporting Covilha Analysis →
18:00 Uniao Santarem vs CF Os Belenenses Analysis →
18:00 Dezembro vs Lusitano Évora 1911 Analysis →