Dezembro 1-1 Lusitano Évora 1911 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 24 Jan 2026

📅24/01/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.29
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
44%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.59
Over 2.5
44%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.99
No
51%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
16%
2/1
4%
2/2
30%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
27%
+2.1pp
27%
Draw
29%
-2.2pp
44%
Away Win
44%
+0.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
59%
-3.3pp
44%
Over 2.5
41%
+3.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
46%
+2.6pp
51%
BTTS No
54%
-2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dezembro EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Lusitano Évora 1911 EU Bookmakers 48%
-1% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
0.98/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.00
-15% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / +12%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
309 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 364 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dezembro
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Lusitano Évora 1911
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 3
01.11.2025 Lusitano Évora 1911 Lusitano Évora 1911 2-0 HT 1-0 Dezembro Dezembro POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dezembro
1-1
AWAY Lusitano Évora 1911
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 5
5 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Dezembro vs Lusitano Évora 1911
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dezembro and Lusitano Évora 1911 shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Lusitano Évora 1911 at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Dezembro had 50% of the ball to Lusitano Évora 1911's 50%, shots finished 8-16.

What was the final score of Dezembro vs Lusitano Évora 1911?

Dezembro 1-1 Lusitano Évora 1911 in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 24/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dezembro vs Lusitano Évora 1911?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lusitano Évora 1911 win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Dezembro 29%, draw 27%, Lusitano Évora 1911 44%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Lusitano Évora 1911), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lusitano Évora 1911) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
POR3 More Portugal - 3rd Division
24 Jan 2026
18:00 Caldas vs Academica Analysis →
18:00 Amora FC vs Sporting Covilha Analysis →
18:00 Uniao Santarem vs CF Os Belenenses Analysis →
18:00 Atletico CP vs Mafra Analysis →