Amora FC 2-0 Sporting Covilha — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 24 Jan 2026

📅24/01/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.27
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
25%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.52
Over 2.5
43%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.03
No
49%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
21%
X/2
11%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
40%
+5.3pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.3pp
25%
Away Win
30%
-4.9pp
57%
Under 2.5
62%
-4.5pp
43%
Over 2.5
38%
+4.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
45%
+5.4pp
49%
BTTS No
55%
-5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Amora FC EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting Covilha EU Bookmakers 34%
-18% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
0.94/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/1.20
-25% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +2%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
273 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Amora FC
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Sporting Covilha
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
8 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 3
02.11.2025 Sporting Covilha Sporting Covilha 0-2 HT 0-0 Amora FC Amora FC POR3
17.01.2024 Sporting Covilha Sporting Covilha 2-0 HT 1-0 Amora FC Amora FC POR3
17.09.2023 Amora FC Amora FC 1-1 HT 1-0 Sporting Covilha Sporting Covilha POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Amora FC
2-0
AWAY Sporting Covilha
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 8
POST-MATCH Amora FC vs Sporting Covilha
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Amora FC beat Sporting Covilha 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Amora FC as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Amora FC had 51% of the ball to Sporting Covilha's 49%, shots finished 10-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Amora FC and 1.00 for Sporting Covilha.

What was the final score of Amora FC vs Sporting Covilha?

Amora FC 2-0 Sporting Covilha in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 24/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Amora FC vs Sporting Covilha?

Before kick-off our model rated a Amora FC win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Amora FC 46%, draw 29%, Sporting Covilha 25%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Amora FC), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Amora FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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