Caldas 0-4 Academica — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 25 Apr 2025

📅25/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.46
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
38%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.95
Over 2.5
47%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.66
No
51%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
18%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
15%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
37%
-3.9pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.1pp
38%
Away Win
36%
+1.9pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+5.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-5.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.0pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Caldas EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Academica EU Bookmakers 39%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
0.82/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/1.04
-39% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / +22%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
304 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Caldas
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Academica
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.02.2025 Academica Academica 1-2 HT 0-1 Caldas Caldas POR3
12.01.2025 Caldas Caldas 1-1 HT 0-1 Academica Academica POR3
28.09.2024 Academica Academica 2-3 HT 2-2 Caldas Caldas POR3
07.01.2024 Caldas Caldas 1-2 HT 0-0 Academica Academica POR3
17.09.2023 Academica Academica 0-1 HT 0-0 Caldas Caldas POR3
29.04.2023 Caldas Caldas 0-2 HT 0-1 Academica Academica POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Caldas
0-4
AWAY Academica
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Caldas vs Academica
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Academica ran out comfortable winners over Caldas 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match split (33% / 29% / 38%) promised a tight game; Academica found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Caldas had 56% of the ball to Academica's 44%, shots finished 14-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Caldas had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Caldas and 1.33 for Academica.

What was the final score of Caldas vs Academica?

Caldas 0-4 Academica in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 25/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Caldas vs Academica?

Before kick-off our model rated an Academica win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Caldas 33%, draw 29%, Academica 38%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Academica), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Academica) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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