CF Os Belenenses 2-0 Uniao Santarem — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 12 Jan 2025

📅12/01/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.12
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
34%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.64
Over 2.5
42%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.9
No
57%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
11%
X/2
17%
X/X
18%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
43%
-4.8pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.1pp
34%
Away Win
29%
+4.8pp
58%
Under 2.5
57%
+0.5pp
42%
Over 2.5
43%
-0.5pp
43%
BTTS Yes
49%
-6.1pp
57%
BTTS No
51%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CF Os Belenenses EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Uniao Santarem EU Bookmakers 32%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +40% / +40%
1.26/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.02/0.74
-3% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +89% / +78%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
372 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CF Os Belenenses
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Uniao Santarem
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 21
6 Shots on Target 13
3 Corners 15
2 Yellow Cards 4
29.09.2024 Uniao Santarem Uniao Santarem 1-2 HT 1-1 CF Os Belenenses POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CF Os Belenenses
2-0
AWAY Uniao Santarem
38% Ball Possession 62%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 5
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH CF Os Belenenses vs Uniao Santarem
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CF Os Belenenses beat Uniao Santarem 2-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 28% / 34%) promised a tight game; CF Os Belenenses found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, CF Os Belenenses had 38% of the ball to Uniao Santarem's 62%, shots finished 8-14.

What was the final score of CF Os Belenenses vs Uniao Santarem?

CF Os Belenenses 2-0 Uniao Santarem in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 12/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CF Os Belenenses vs Uniao Santarem?

Before kick-off our model rated a CF Os Belenenses win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split CF Os Belenenses 38%, draw 28%, Uniao Santarem 34%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CF Os Belenenses), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (CF Os Belenenses) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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